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Variant Allelic Frequency to Track Therapy Response and Evaluate Leptomeningeal Disease in Metastatic Central Nervous System Cancers

Authors:

Vindhya Udhane, Alexandra Larson, Jennifer N. Adams, Rakshitha Jagadish, Anthony Acevedo, Brett A. Domagala, Samantha A. Vo, Tarin Peltier, Daniel Sanchez, Viriya Keo, Julianna Ernst, Kala F. Schilter, Qian Nie, and Honey V. Reddi.

Journal:

Diagnostics 2026, 16 (6), 851

Abstract:

Background

Diagnosis of leptomeningeal disease (LMD) remains a clinical challenge due to nonspecific neurological symptoms, limitations of imaging, and the low sensitivity of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) cytology. Molecular biomarkers, such as circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) variant allele frequencies (VAFs), offer potential for improved detection and disease monitoring. 

Methods:

Gene-level VAFs were analyzed from 118 Summit™ positive CSF specimens and evaluated in the context of clinical diagnosis, neurological presentation, neuroimaging, and CSF cytology. Longitudinal analyses were performed on serial CSF samples to assess VAF dynamics following therapy. 

Results

Longitudinal assessment demonstrated that decreases in VAF post-treatment aligned with clinical stabilization, whereas rising or persistent VAFs reflected disease progression, therapeutic resistance, or evolving clonal mutations. Elevated VAFs correlated strongly with clinically confirmed LMD and were concordant with radiographic and clinical indicators of disease.

Conclusions

VAF analysis in CSF provides a quantitative biomarker for the detection and monitoring of metastatic CNS disease. These findings support its utility as a complementary tool to conventional diagnostics, offering real-time insights into disease burden, therapeutic response, and clonal evolution in LMD.

Figure 1: Variant allele frequency detection and longitudinal tracking across 118 CSF specimens in patients with suspected metastatic CNS disease.

A: Clinically significant variants were detected in 22 of the 32 genes included in the Summit panel, with frequencies varying by tissue of origin. SNV, single nucleotide variant; INDEL, insertion/deletion; CNS, central nervous system (A).

Bar chart showing gene-level variant detection frequency across 118 CSF specimens from patients with suspected metastatic CNS disease, including TP53, PIK3CA, KRAS, and EGFR, with tissue of origin breakdown including breast, lung, lymphoma, and colon primaries, from Belay Diagnostics VAF leptomeningeal disease study published in Diagnostics 2026.

B: VAF of clinically significant variants detected in 14 cases (30 specimens collected over time) was used to monitor disease progression and therapeutic response (B).

Bar chart showing longitudinal variant allele frequency (VAF) tracking across 14 cases and 30 CSF specimens collected over time, with first, second, and third draws displayed for each case, used to monitor disease progression and therapeutic response in leptomeningeal disease patients tested with Belay Diagnostics Summit CSF liquid biopsy assay.

C: Distribution of variant allele frequency (VAF) across clinical groups including leptomeningeal disease (LMD), concern for LMD (c/f LMD), and parenchymal metastases. The horizontal black line indicates the 5% VAF threshold, which was used as a cutoff associated with the diagnosis of LMD. VAF may serve as a quantitative measure to inform the diagnosis of LMD and to monitor disease progression or response to therapy (C).

Dot plot showing distribution of variant allele frequency (VAF) across three clinical groups: confirmed leptomeningeal disease (LMD), concern for LMD (c/f LMD), and parenchymal metastases, across breast, lung, brain, colon, esophageal, lymphoma, and other primary malignancies. The horizontal black line indicates the 5% VAF threshold associated with LMD diagnosis, from Belay Diagnostics VAF study published in Diagnostics 2026.

Table 1: Demonstrating the validity of VAF as a quantitative measure in CSF.

A. Clinical Follow-Up of Summit High-VAF Cases for LMD Determination
Study IDTissue of OriginLMD StatusClinical Follow-Up
7Breastc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
47Lungc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
53BreastParenchymal MetsConfirmed LMD
146EsophagealParenchymal MetsConfirmed LMD
147Lungc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
172Pancreasc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
178Lungc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
216EsophagealParenchymal MetsConfirmed LMD
312Gastricc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
388Breastc/f LMDConfirmed LMD
B. Summit Variant Concordance with Prior Tumor Biopsy Results (Variants limited to 32 genes evaluated by Summit™
Study IDTissue of OriginGene-Level Variants Detected by SummitVariants Detected in Prior Primary or Metastatic Tumor
94LungEGFR L858REGFR L858R
114LungEGFR L746_S752delinsV TP53 R213fs,EGFR L746_S752delinsV TP53 R213fs,
307LungEGFR L858REGFR L858R

c/f—concern for; LMD—leptomeningeal disease.